Prediksi Olahraga

Italia

Serie D - Group A

Grosseto

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Serie D - Group A encounter between Desenzano Calvina and Grosseto promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Desenzano Calvina averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in recent matches. Grosseto shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Both back lines have been highly organized and defensive lately, suggesting a tight, low-scoring matchup where details will decide the outcome. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Desenzano Calvina, 1 wins for Grosseto, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.05.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.31 for Desenzano Calvina and 0.69 for Grosseto, suggesting the primary value lies in the Grosseto double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

40%

Desenzano Calvina

20%

Seri

40%

Grosseto

Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Grosseto

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

68% / Sedang Keyakinan

Desenzano Calvina mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Grosseto.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.31 vs 0.69 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 62%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 39%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 23%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 12%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 38%

Desenzano Calvina Tanpa Kebobolan 28%

Grosseto Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Gol Babak Pertama 56%

Gol Babak Kedua 59%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Desenzano Calvina	Grosseto
Main	30	30
Menang	20	19
Seri	7	5
Kalah	3	6
Gol Masuk	1.63	1.7
Gol Kemasukan	0.57	0.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	0.25	1.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

17.05.26 Serie D - Group A

Desenzano Calvina vs Grosseto

Penguasaan: 52% - 42% Kartu: 2 - 2

0:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Desenzano Calvina

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Grosseto

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Desenzano Calvina Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A

0 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.25

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.81

Grosseto Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Benedetti L.

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.03

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.63

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Desenzano Calvina 42 / 100

Grosseto 38 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Desenzano Calvina Grosseto

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Grosseto or Draw (X2)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Desenzano Calvina 44%

Grosseto 32%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Desenzano Calvina 38%

Grosseto 42%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Desenzano Calvina 40%

Grosseto 40%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Desenzano Calvina 42%

Grosseto 38%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Desenzano Calvina 36%

Grosseto 44%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Desenzano Calvina 46%

Grosseto 46%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Desenzano Calvina menyerang → ← menyerang Grosseto

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Desenzano Calvina have found the net in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Grosseto have conceded at least one goal in 53% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.

Desenzano Calvina remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Grosseto suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

67 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 62

1.63 Expected goals (xG) 1.13

0.25 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	2	1	1	0	6:3	4
2	Folgore Caratese	2	1	0	1	2:3	3
3	Treviso	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	2	1	1	2:1	3
2	Grosseto	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Ostiamare	2	1	1	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	Barletta	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	A.C. Savoia	2	0	0	2	2:6	0