Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Din. Samarkand vs Nasaf Qarshi

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Dinamo Samarkand Stadium
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Super League encounter between Din. Samarkand and Nasaf Qarshi promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Din. Samarkand averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Nasaf Qarshi shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Din. Samarkand, 1 wins for Nasaf Qarshi, and 4 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.03.26 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.13 for Din. Samarkand and 1.50 for Nasaf Qarshi, suggesting the primary value lies in the Din. Samarkand double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

38%
Din. Samarkand
35%
Seri
27%
Nasaf Qarshi
Proyeksi hasil seri: 35% Unggulan: Din. Samarkand

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

74% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Din. Samarkand mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Nasaf Qarshi.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.13 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 73%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 51%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 15%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 60%
Din. Samarkand Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Nasaf Qarshi Tanpa Kebobolan 13%
Gol Babak Pertama 66%
Gol Babak Kedua 69%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Din. Samarkand Nasaf Qarshi
Main 31 31
Menang 14 7
Seri 5 11
Kalah 12 13
Gol Masuk 1.58 1.03
Gol Kemasukan 1.32 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

12.03.26 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:1
29.11.25 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Din. Samarkand
0:0
06.07.25 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Nasaf Qarshi
2:2
28.10.24 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:2
25.05.24 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Din. Samarkand
1:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Din. Samarkand

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nasaf Qarshi

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Din. Samarkand Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Khozhimirzaev A.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.15
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.75

Nasaf Qarshi Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Mukhitdinov S.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.91
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.56

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Din. Samarkand 37 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 27 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Din. Samarkand Nasaf Qarshi

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Din. Samarkand or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Din. Samarkand 42%
Nasaf Qarshi 22%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Din. Samarkand 36%
Nasaf Qarshi 28%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Din. Samarkand 38%
Nasaf Qarshi 27%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Din. Samarkand 40%
Nasaf Qarshi 26%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Din. Samarkand 34%
Nasaf Qarshi 30%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Din. Samarkand 44%
Nasaf Qarshi 31%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Din. Samarkand menyerang → ← menyerang Nasaf Qarshi

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Din. Samarkand have found the net in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Nasaf Qarshi have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.

Din. Samarkand remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Nasaf Qarshi suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

47 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 32
1.50 Expected goals (xG) 1.00
2.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210