Prediksi Olahraga
Dragones Toluca vs Tapachula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 
Acara Pertandingan
11'
11'
Rosales L.
28'
28'
Vazquez A.
67'
67'
Vazquez A.
Ringkasan Pertandingan
The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Dragones Toluca and Tapachula finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tapachula.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
30%
39%
31%
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
65%
/ Sedang Keyakinan
- Tapachula carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 50%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 23%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71%
Dragones Toluca Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Tapachula Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Dragones Toluca | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 30 | 30 |
| Menang | 4 | 14 |
| Seri | 3 | 1 |
| Kalah | 23 | 15 |
| Gol Masuk | 0.83 | 1.87 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 2.17 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
12 Apr 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tapachula vs Dragones Toluca
4:0
22 Nov 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Dragones Toluca vs Tapachula
2:4
Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga
Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan
Dragones Toluca Bandingkan
Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Rosales L.
1 Gol Pengumpan Terbanyak Montes de Oca C.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.65
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.42
Tapachula Bandingkan
Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Vazquez A.
2 Gol Pengumpan Terbanyak Ramirez F.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.95
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.19
Indeks Momentum SokaPicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Dragones Toluca 29 / 100
Tapachula 31 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Dragones Toluca Tapachula
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Pilihan Utama Dragones Toluca Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Tapachula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Tapachula registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Dragones Toluca's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Tren Skor
Dragones Toluca VS Tapachula
0.83 Gol Dicetak 2.13
2.17 Gol Kebobolan 0.88
67% Atas 1.5 75%
67% Atas 2.5 75%
50% Atas 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dragones Toluca
(Home) 12 Apr
Tapachula
4 : 0 Dragones Toluca
28 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1 Deportiva Venados
22 Mar
Neza FC
1 : 4 Dragones Toluca
07 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 3 Canoneros FC
28 Feb
Pioneros
3 : 1 Dragones Toluca
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1 Deportiva Venados
07 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 3 Canoneros FC
21 Feb
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
07 Feb
Dragones Toluca
0 : 0 Inter Playa Del Carmen
24 Jan
Dragones Toluca
0 : 2 Celaya
Page 1 of 3
Tapachula
(Away) 03 Oct
Tapachula
2 : 3 Chapulineros
19 Sept
Pioneros
5 : 1 Tapachula
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0 Inter Playa Del Carmen
06 Sept
Celaya
2 : 0 Tapachula
29 Aug
Tapachula
0 : 4 Racing de Veracruz
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Pioneros
5 : 1 Tapachula
06 Sept
Celaya
2 : 0 Tapachula
15 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 0 Tapachula
28 Mar
Canoneros FC
1 : 2 Tapachula
15 Mar
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 3 Tapachula
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
