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East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
Sel, 13 Okt 2026
VS
06.45 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. East Kilbride have averaged 2.62 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Kelty Hearts's 1.43 scored and 1.93 conceded. Head-to-head, East Kilbride have won 2 to Kelty Hearts's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 27 Jun 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.81) back East Kilbride to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
East Kilbride
39%
Seri
31%
Kelty Hearts
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • East Kilbride carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • East Kilbride have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 88%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 50.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 23%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.4%
East Kilbride Tanpa Kebobolan 11%
Kelty Hearts Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik East Kilbride Kelty Hearts
Main 29 30
Menang 18 12
Seri 4 2
Kalah 7 16
Gol Masuk 2.62 1.43
Gol Kemasukan 1.55 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

27 Jun 2026 Club Friendly
East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts
4:0
10 Apr 2021 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts
0:0
7 Nov 2020 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs East Kilbride
0:1
7 Des 2019 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs East Kilbride
1:0
2 Nov 2019 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts
0:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

East Kilbride 29 / 100
Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
East Kilbride Kelty Hearts

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama East Kilbride Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

East Kilbride found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Kelty Hearts has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

East Kilbride went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Kelty Hearts has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

East Kilbride VS Kelty Hearts
2.13 Gol Dicetak 1.75
1.88 Gol Kebobolan 1.75
88% Atas 1.5 88%
88% Atas 2.5 75%
63% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
Page 1 of 6

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)