Prediksi Olahraga
Ringkasan Pertandingan
EC Ypiranga enters this Baiano 2 2013 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 57%. EC Ypiranga averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Camacari shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for EC Ypiranga, 0 wins for Camacari, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 29.05.13 ended in a 4:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 3.00 for EC Ypiranga and 0.69 for Camacari, suggesting the primary value lies in the EC Ypiranga double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- EC Ypiranga mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Camacari.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (3.00 vs 0.69 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 63%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | EC Ypiranga | Camacari |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 32 | 30 |
| Menang | 10 | 6 |
| Seri | 6 | 3 |
| Kalah | 16 | 21 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 1.13 | 2.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) | 0.88 | 4.63 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
EC Ypiranga
Camacari
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
EC Ypiranga is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Camacari will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of EC Ypiranga's attacks.
Expect EC Ypiranga to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see EC Ypiranga vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Camacari, allowing EC Ypiranga's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from EC Ypiranga, while Camacari takes risks to salvage a result.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
EC Ypiranga have found the net in 56% of their last 32 matches.
Camacari have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.50 goals per match.
EC Ypiranga remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Camacari suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galicia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 2 | Catuense | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Camacari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 4 | EC Ypiranga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Ipitanga | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itabuna | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 2 | CE Flamengo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Colo Colo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Jequie | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Astro | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | 5 |