Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Edinburgh University vs Threave Rovers

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2014/2015
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Edinburgh University enters this Lowland League 2014/2015 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 58%. Edinburgh University averages 1.3 goals scored and 3.5 conceded in recent matches. Threave Rovers shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Edinburgh University, 0 wins for Threave Rovers, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.04.16 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.71 for Edinburgh University and 3.71 for Threave Rovers, suggesting the primary value lies in the Edinburgh University double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

58%
Edinburgh University
15%
Seri
27%
Threave Rovers
Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: Edinburgh University

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

84% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Edinburgh University mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Threave Rovers.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.71 vs 3.71 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 94%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 88%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 100%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 94%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 56%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 28%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 70%
Edinburgh University Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Threave Rovers Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 90%
Gol Babak Kedua 95%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Edinburgh University Threave Rovers
Main 32 30
Menang 4 3
Seri 3 1
Kalah 25 26
Gol Masuk 1.25 1.27
Gol Kemasukan 3.47 3.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.67
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 4.75 2.67

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

16.04.16 Lowland League
Threave Rovers vs Edinburgh University
1:2
22.08.15 Lowland League
Edinburgh University vs Threave Rovers
4:0
22.03.15 Lowland League
Threave Rovers vs Edinburgh University
2:3
22.11.14 Lowland League
Edinburgh University vs Threave Rovers
3:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Edinburgh University

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Threave Rovers

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Edinburgh University 54 / 100
Threave Rovers 26 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Edinburgh University Threave Rovers

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Edinburgh University Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Edinburgh University & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.2%
1.14
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Edinburgh University is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Edinburgh University 64%
Threave Rovers 22%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Threave Rovers will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Edinburgh University's attacks.

Edinburgh University 55%
Threave Rovers 28%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Edinburgh University to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Edinburgh University 58%
Threave Rovers 27%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Edinburgh University vary their attacking width.

Edinburgh University 61%
Threave Rovers 26%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Threave Rovers, allowing Edinburgh University's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Edinburgh University 52%
Threave Rovers 30%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect a final offensive push from Edinburgh University, while Threave Rovers takes risks to salvage a result.

Edinburgh University 67%
Threave Rovers 31%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Edinburgh University menyerang → ← menyerang Threave Rovers

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Edinburgh University have found the net in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Threave Rovers have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

Edinburgh University remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Threave Rovers suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

15 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 10
0.75 Expected goals (xG) 2.67
4.75 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Edinburgh City26223165:1469
2East Kilbride26155663:2550
3Gretna 200826136762:3245
4Dalbeattie Star26119651:3942
5Spartans26119645:3442
6Stirling University26126846:3842
7Whitehill Welfare26117857:3840
8Gala Fairydean Rovers26971048:5434
9Vale Of Leithen26961139:5333
10Broomhill26791039:5230
11Edinburgh University26841440:5228
12Selkirk26651553:7423
13Preston Athletic26351831:7514
14Threave Rovers26251921:8011