Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Eritrea vs Ethiopia

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship
Min, 3 Nov 2024
0 - 3
05.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Eritrea have averaged 0 scored and 0.13 conceded recently, against Ethiopia's 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Eritrea have won 0 to Ethiopia's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on 3 Nov 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 0.69) point toward Ethiopia. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

42%
Eritrea
20%
Seri
38%
Ethiopia
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Eritrea

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

67% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Ethiopia come out ahead of Eritrea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Eritrea a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Ethiopia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Ethiopia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 61.8%
Eritrea Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Ethiopia Tanpa Kebobolan 14%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Eritrea Ethiopia
Main 16 29
Menang 5 11
Seri 2 5
Kalah 9 13
Gol Masuk 0 1.25
Gol Kemasukan 0.13 0.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 0.13 0.88

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

3 Nov 2024 African Nations Championship
Eritrea vs Ethiopia
0:3
31 Okt 2024 African Nations Championship
Ethiopia vs Eritrea
3:0
5 Jan 2013 African Nations Championship
Eritrea vs Ethiopia
0:0
14 Des 2012 African Nations Championship
Ethiopia vs Eritrea
3:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Eritrea 42 / 100
Ethiopia 37 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Eritrea Ethiopia

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Ethiopia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Eritrea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Eritrea's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Tren Skor

Eritrea VS Ethiopia
0 Gol Dicetak 1.25
0.13 Gol Kebobolan 0.88
0% Atas 1.5 63%
0% Atas 2.5 38%
0% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Eritrea

(Home)
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
28 May
Eritrea
0 : 1
Niger
26 May
Eritrea
0 : 0
Niger
03 Nov
Eritrea
0 : 3
Ethiopia
Page 1 of 4

Ethiopia

(Away)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3
Ethiopia
12 Oct
Burkina Faso
3 : 1
Ethiopia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6