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Ethiopia vs Guinea

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara, Abidjan
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Acara Pertandingan

16' Event
Guirassy S.
Assist: Sylla I.
19' Event
Toure A.
Assist: Camara M.
23' Event
Guirassy S.
(Penalti)

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This match ends 0-3, with Guinea advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

50%
Ethiopia
28%
Seri
22%
Guinea
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Ethiopia

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Ethiopia come out ahead of Guinea on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia taking it.
  • Ethiopia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guinea, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.
  • Guinea have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 85%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 69%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 13%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 6%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ethiopia Tanpa Kebobolan 68%
Guinea Tanpa Kebobolan 18%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Ethiopia Guinea
Main 29 26
Menang 11 9
Seri 5 8
Kalah 13 9
Gol Masuk 1.14 1.19
Gol Kemasukan 1.21 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

15 Okt 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs Guinea
0:3
12 Okt 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea vs Ethiopia
4:1
27 Mar 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs Guinea
2:3
24 Mar 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea vs Ethiopia
2:0
4 Sep 2011 Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea vs Ethiopia
1:0

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Ethiopia Bandingkan

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.62
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.41

Guinea Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Guirassy S.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Toure A.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.08
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.66

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Ethiopia 59 / 100
Guinea 23 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Ethiopia Guinea

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Ethiopia Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Guinea has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Ethiopia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ethiopia scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Tren Skor

Ethiopia VS Guinea
1 Gol Dicetak 1.38
1 Gol Kebobolan 0.63
63% Atas 1.5 75%
25% Atas 2.5 38%
13% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia

(Home)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3
Ethiopia
12 Oct
Burkina Faso
3 : 1
Ethiopia
Page 1 of 6

Guinea

(Away)
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0
Liberia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)