Prediksi Olahraga
Ringkasan Pertandingan
This Liga Nacional encounter between FC Santiago de Cuba and CF Granma promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. FC Santiago de Cuba averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. CF Granma shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for FC Santiago de Cuba, 1 wins for CF Granma, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 07.06.25 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for FC Santiago de Cuba and 1.00 for CF Granma, suggesting the primary value lies in the FC Santiago de Cuba double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- FC Santiago de Cuba mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding CF Granma.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.44 vs 1.00 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
- Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | FC Santiago de Cuba | CF Granma |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 30 | 27 |
| Menang | 12 | 7 |
| Seri | 9 | 5 |
| Kalah | 9 | 15 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.53 | 0.89 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 1.13 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
FC Santiago de Cuba
CF Granma
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
FC Santiago de Cuba is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
CF Granma will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of FC Santiago de Cuba's attacks.
Expect FC Santiago de Cuba to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see FC Santiago de Cuba vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for CF Granma, allowing FC Santiago de Cuba's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from FC Santiago de Cuba, while CF Granma takes risks to salvage a result.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
FC Santiago de Cuba have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.
CF Granma have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 27 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.
FC Santiago de Cuba remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
CF Granma suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Habana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Artemisa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Isla de La Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 4 | Pinar del Rio | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Villa Clara | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mayabeque Guines | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:26 | 9 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Tunas | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Ciego de Avila | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Camaguey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:20 | 6 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guantanamo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 4 | CF Granma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:22 | 8 |