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Feirense vs Vitoria da Conquista

Brasil Brasil

Baiano 2 2024
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Baiano 2 2024 encounter between Feirense and Vitoria da Conquista promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Feirense averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Vitoria da Conquista shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Feirense, 3 wins for Vitoria da Conquista, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 07.07.24 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Feirense and 2.88 for Vitoria da Conquista, suggesting the primary value lies in the Vitoria da Conquista double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

32%
Feirense
17%
Seri
51%
Vitoria da Conquista
Proyeksi hasil seri: 17% Unggulan: Vitoria da Conquista

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

78% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Feirense mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Vitoria da Conquista.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.35 vs 2.88 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 89%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 69%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 46%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 28%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 46%
Feirense Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Vitoria da Conquista Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 62%
Gol Babak Kedua 66%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Feirense Vitoria da Conquista
Main 31 32
Menang 6 9
Seri 5 11
Kalah 20 12
Gol Masuk 0.77 1.03
Gol Kemasukan 1.65 1.28
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 5.00 1.50

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

07.07.24 Baiano 2
Feirense vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:2
28.04.13 Baiano
Vitoria da Conquista vs Feirense
2:1
06.04.13 Baiano
Feirense vs Vitoria da Conquista
0:1
19.08.12 Serie D
Feirense vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:0
01.07.12 Serie D
Vitoria da Conquista vs Feirense
1:3

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Feirense

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Vitoria da Conquista

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Feirense Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Rian
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0
Rata-rata xA / laga 0

Vitoria da Conquista Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Santana Barroso C. A.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Ruan Cafe
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.68
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.42

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Feirense 31 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista 48 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Feirense Vitoria da Conquista

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Vitoria da Conquista or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Feirense 35%
Vitoria da Conquista 41%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Feirense 30%
Vitoria da Conquista 54%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Feirense 32%
Vitoria da Conquista 51%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Feirense 34%
Vitoria da Conquista 48%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Feirense 29%
Vitoria da Conquista 56%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Feirense 37%
Vitoria da Conquista 59%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Feirense menyerang → ← menyerang Vitoria da Conquista

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Feirense have found the net in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Vitoria da Conquista have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Feirense remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Vitoria da Conquista suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

23 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 38
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.75
5.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fluminense de Feira971110:222
2Grapiuna953116:618
3Colo Colo945011:417
4Porto-BA94328:515
5SSA934210:613
6Vitoria da Conquista92437:810
7Galicia91535:78
8Leonico91446:107
9Feirense91357:166
10Jacobinense90275:212