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Figueirense vs Hercilio Luz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brasil Brasil

Copa Santa Catarina
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
06.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hercilio Luz have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Figueirense have conceded 1.12 and scored 1.12. Head-to-head, Figueirense have won 0 to Hercilio Luz's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on 18 Jan 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Hercilio Luz. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

42%
Figueirense
20%
Seri
38%
Hercilio Luz
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Figueirense

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

67% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Hercilio Luz come out ahead of Figueirense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Figueirense's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Hercilio Luz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hercilio Luz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 69.4%
Figueirense Tanpa Kebobolan 18%
Hercilio Luz Tanpa Kebobolan 14%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Figueirense Hercilio Luz
Main 33 29
Menang 15 17
Seri 8 4
Kalah 10 8
Gol Masuk 1.12 1.76
Gol Kemasukan 1.12 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18 Jan 2025 Catarinense
Figueirense vs Hercilio Luz
1:1
22 Sep 2024 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Hercilio Luz
0:1
8 Feb 2024 Catarinense
Figueirense vs Hercilio Luz
0:0
5 Sep 2023 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Hercilio Luz
1:1
22 Mar 2023 Catarinense
Hercilio Luz vs Figueirense
0:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Figueirense 41 / 100
Hercilio Luz 37 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Figueirense Hercilio Luz

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Figueirense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Figueirense found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Hercilio Luz has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Tren Skor

Figueirense VS Hercilio Luz
1.13 Gol Dicetak 2
0.63 Gol Kebobolan 1
50% Atas 1.5 75%
38% Atas 2.5 50%
13% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
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Hercilio Luz

(Away)
26 Sept
Hercilio Luz
2 : 1
Nacao
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Hercilio Luz
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 5 3 1 1 15:9 10
2 Figueirense 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
3 Hercilio Luz 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
4 Joinville 5 3 0 2 10:8 9
5 Santa Catarina 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
6 CA Metropolitano 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
8 Blumenau 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
9 Nacao 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)