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Figueirense vs Joinville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brasil Brasil

Copa Santa Catarina
Sab, 24 Okt 2026
VS
02.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Figueirense have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Joinville's 1.06 scored and 1.35 conceded. Head-to-head, Figueirense have won 5 to Joinville's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 27 Feb 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.13 - 1.43) back Figueirense to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Figueirense
44%
Seri
20%
Joinville
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Figueirense come out ahead of Joinville on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Figueirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Figueirense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Figueirense have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 34%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 15%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 69%
Figueirense Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Joinville Tanpa Kebobolan 13%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Figueirense Joinville
Main 31 31
Menang 14 11
Seri 9 4
Kalah 8 16
Gol Masuk 1.16 1.06
Gol Kemasukan 1.13 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

27 Feb 2026 Catarinense
Joinville vs Figueirense
0:3
6 Feb 2026 Catarinense
Figueirense vs Joinville
1:0
7 Jan 2026 Catarinense
Joinville vs Figueirense
2:3
23 Nov 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Joinville
2:1
16 Nov 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Figueirense
1:4

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Figueirense 36 / 100
Joinville 21 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Figueirense Joinville

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Joinville Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Figueirense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Figueirense scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Joinville conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Tren Skor

Figueirense VS Joinville
1.13 Gol Dicetak 1.86
1 Gol Kebobolan 1.14
63% Atas 1.5 71%
50% Atas 2.5 71%
25% Atas 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
16 Oct
Marcilio Dias
2 : 2
Figueirense
10 Oct
Figueirense
1 : 0
Hercilio Luz
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
Page 1 of 7

Joinville

(Away)
10 Oct
Santa Catarina
0 : 3
Joinville
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Figueirense 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Joinville 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
3 Hercilio Luz 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
4 Marcilio Dias 7 3 3 1 17:11 12
5 CA Metropolitano 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
6 Santa Catarina 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
7 Blumenau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
8 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 0 4 2 10:13 4
9 Nacao 7 0 3 4 6:13 3
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