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France vs Italy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stade de France, Paris - Saint-Denis
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Acara Pertandingan

54'
Fagioli N.
55' Event
Olise M.
Assist: Cherki R.
62'
Sub
Tonali S. Masuk: Barella N.
Keluar: Tonali S.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The UEFA Nations League game between France and Italy finished 1-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
France
39%
Seri
30%
Italy
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Italy haven't matched France's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 74.2%
France Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Italy Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik France Italy
Main 35 31
Menang 24 18
Seri 5 5
Kalah 6 8
Gol Masuk 2.2 1.94
Gol Kemasukan 1.06 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.10
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

2 Okt 2026 UEFA Nations League
France vs Italy
1:1
17 Nov 2024 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs France
1:3
6 Sep 2024 UEFA Nations League
France vs Italy
1:3
1 Jun 2018 Friendly International
France vs Italy
3:1
1 Sep 2016 Friendly International
Italy vs France
1:3

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

France Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Olise M.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.35
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.88

Italy Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Bastoni A.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.61

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

France 32 / 100
Italy 29 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
France Italy

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Italy Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: France scored in 91% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Italy has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

France has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tren Skor

France VS Italy
2.5 Gol Dicetak 1.57
0.63 Gol Kebobolan 1
88% Atas 1.5 71%
75% Atas 2.5 43%
38% Atas 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

France

(Home)
05 Oct
France
4 : 1
Belgium
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
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Italy

(Away)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)