Prediksi Olahraga

Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium

Sevlievo

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Vtora liga encounter between Fratria and Sevlievo promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Fratria averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Sevlievo shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Fratria, 1 wins for Sevlievo, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 08.03.26 ended in a 1:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.25 for Fratria and 0.76 for Sevlievo, suggesting the primary value lies in the Fratria double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

45%

Fratria

24%

Seri

31%

Sevlievo

Proyeksi hasil seri: 24% Unggulan: Fratria

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

75% / Tinggi Keyakinan

Fratria mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Sevlievo.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (2.25 vs 0.76 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 89%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 77%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 51%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 15%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 47%

Fratria Tanpa Kebobolan 27%

Sevlievo Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Gol Babak Pertama 69%

Gol Babak Kedua 73%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Fratria	Sevlievo
Main	26	29
Menang	9	9
Seri	10	3
Kalah	7	17
Gol Masuk	1.62	0.97
Gol Kemasukan	1.15	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	0.88	2.63

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

08.03.26 Vtora liga

Fratria vs Sevlievo

Penguasaan: 45% - 47% Kartu: 3 - 4

1:4

31.08.25 Vtora liga

Sevlievo vs Fratria

Penguasaan: 43% - 42% Kartu: 4 - 1

0:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Fratria

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sevlievo

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Fratria Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Rumenov R.

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.45

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.94

Sevlievo Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Antonov P.

2 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak Banev M.

1 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.57

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.35

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Fratria 46 / 100

Sevlievo 30 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Fratria Sevlievo

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Fratria or Draw (1X)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Fratria 50%

Sevlievo 25%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Fratria 43%

Sevlievo 33%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Fratria 45%

Sevlievo 31%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Fratria 47%

Sevlievo 29%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Fratria 41%

Sevlievo 34%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Fratria 52%

Sevlievo 36%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Fratria menyerang → ← menyerang Sevlievo

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Fratria have found the net in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Sevlievo have conceded at least one goal in 72% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Fratria remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sevlievo suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

37 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 30

1.88 Expected goals (xG) 0.63

0.88 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dunav Ruse	32	20	9	3	53:16	69
2	Yantra Gabrovo	32	18	10	4	45:24	64
3	Fratria	32	18	9	5	61:29	63
4	Vihren	32	17	7	8	59:34	58
5	CSKA Sofia II	32	16	7	9	57:32	55
6	Chernomorets 1919	32	11	13	8	38:32	46
7	Etar	32	11	11	10	39:43	44
8	Ludogorets II	32	11	8	13	41:43	41
9	Marek	32	10	11	11	27:35	41
10	Hebar	32	11	7	14	41:51	40
11	Pirin Blagoevgrad	32	9	11	12	38:41	38
12	Spartak Pleven	32	9	8	15	37:45	35
13	Svoge	32	9	7	16	28:48	34
14	Gorna	32	8	9	15	33:52	33
15	Sevlievo	32	9	5	18	29:52	32
16	Minyor Pernik	32	7	9	16	32:45	30
17	Belasitsa Petrich	32	4	7	21	26:62	19