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Galway United vs Derry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
0 - 2
02.00 PM
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

25'
Barratt C.
26' Event
Duffy M.
45' Event
Duffy M.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the FAI Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Galway United have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Derry City's 1.52 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Galway United have won 2 to Derry City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 18 Sep 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.69, favoring Galway United. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Galway United
39%
Seri
30%
Derry City
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Galway United have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Derry City are scoring more at 1.52.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Galway United, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 78.6%
Galway United Tanpa Kebobolan 13%
Derry City Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Galway United Derry City
Main 28 29
Menang 10 10
Seri 9 9
Kalah 9 10
Gol Masuk 1.5 1.52
Gol Kemasukan 1.46 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18 Sep 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Galway United
1:0
19 Jun 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Derry City
2:1
4 Mei 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Galway United
1:1
3 Apr 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Derry City
2:1
22 Agu 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Derry City
1:2

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Galway United Bandingkan

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.25
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.81

Derry City Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Duffy M.
2 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.54
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.94

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Galway United 31 / 100
Derry City 29 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Galway United Derry City

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Derry City Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Galway United scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Derry City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Galway United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Galway United VS Derry City
1.63 Gol Dicetak 2.25
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 1.63
88% Atas 1.5 75%
63% Atas 2.5 63%
25% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Galway United

(Home)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

Derry City

(Away)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Waterford 2
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
Waterford -
TBD -