Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Green Gully vs South Melbourne

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Green Gully Reserve
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Green Gully play South Melbourne in the NPL Victoria. It looks like a close match. Recently, Green Gully averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. South Melbourne averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Green Gully won 2, South Melbourne won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on 28 Jun 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Green Gully and 1.50 for South Melbourne. This points to a South Melbourne double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

25%
Green Gully
20%
Seri
55%
South Melbourne
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: South Melbourne

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

83% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Green Gully mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding South Melbourne.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.69 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 60%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 79%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 60%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 36%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 18%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 49%
Green Gully Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
South Melbourne Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 71%
Gol Babak Kedua 75%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Green Gully South Melbourne
Main 29 33
Menang 4 16
Seri 8 4
Kalah 17 13
Gol Masuk 0.93 1.97
Gol Kemasukan 1.83 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

28 Jun 2026 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs Green Gully
1:2
13 Mar 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs South Melbourne
0:1
3 Agu 2025 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs Green Gully
1:1
25 Apr 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs South Melbourne
1:0
13 Jul 2024 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs South Melbourne
0:1

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Green Gully Bandingkan

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.77
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.5

South Melbourne Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Saristavros G.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.59
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.97

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Green Gully 26 / 100
South Melbourne 52 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Green Gully South Melbourne

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama South Melbourne Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua South Melbourne & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Green Gully menyerang → ← menyerang South Melbourne

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Green Gully scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

South Melbourne let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Green Gully went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

South Melbourne lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Faktor Risiko

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Faktor Risiko

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

20 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 52
1.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.75
1.25 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Oakleigh Cannons18124240:1740
2Hume City18123339:2239
3Avondale FC18111651:2234
4Heidelberg Utd1994631:2431
5Melbourne City U211775532:2026
6Preston Lions17102525:1326
7George Cross1867524:2525
8South Melbourne1881928:3225
9St Albans1964921:3422
10Dandenong City SC1874726:2521
11Altona Magic1854921:3219
12Bentleigh Greens19441117:4216
13Dandenong Thunder18331220:4112
14Green Gully19241313:3910