Prediksi Olahraga

Spanyol

Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017

Guarnizo

2 - 0

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 encounter between Guarnizo and Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Guarnizo averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in recent matches. Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Guarnizo, 0 wins for Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive), and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.02.18 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for Guarnizo and 0.88 for Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive), suggesting the primary value lies in the Guarnizo double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

46%

Guarnizo

30%

Seri

24%

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Proyeksi hasil seri: 30% Unggulan: Guarnizo

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

79% / Tinggi Keyakinan

Guarnizo mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive).
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.29 vs 0.88 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 67%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 47%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 28%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 48%

Guarnizo Tanpa Kebobolan 25%

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) Tanpa Kebobolan 11%

Gol Babak Pertama 60%

Gol Babak Kedua 64%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Guarnizo	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
Main	31	30
Menang	19	10
Seri	8	8
Kalah	4	12
Gol Masuk	1.45	1.4
Gol Kemasukan	0.68	1.6

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

03.02.18 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Guarnizo vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Penguasaan: 45% - 44% Kartu: 4 - 2

2:1

17.09.17 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) vs Guarnizo

Penguasaan: 41% - 48% Kartu: 3 - 2

2:2

25.02.17 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Guarnizo vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Penguasaan: 50% - 59% Kartu: 3 - 2

2:0

09.10.16 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) vs Guarnizo

Penguasaan: 55% - 47% Kartu: 1 - 3

0:0

09.01.16 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Guarnizo vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Penguasaan: 41% - 43% Kartu: 2 - 4

2:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Guarnizo

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Guarnizo 46 / 100

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 24 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Guarnizo Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Guarnizo or Draw (1X)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Guarnizo is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Guarnizo 51%

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 19%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Guarnizo's attacks.

Guarnizo 44%

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 25%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Guarnizo to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Guarnizo 46%

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 24%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Guarnizo vary their attacking width.

Guarnizo 48%

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 23%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive), allowing Guarnizo's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Guarnizo 41%

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 26%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect a final offensive push from Guarnizo, while Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) takes risks to salvage a result.

Guarnizo 53%

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 28%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Guarnizo menyerang → ← menyerang Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Guarnizo have found the net in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Guarnizo remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

65 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 38

1.38 Expected goals (xG) 0.00

0.75 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	38	28	6	4	78:23	90
2	CD Tropezon	38	25	6	7	68:27	81
3	CD Laredo	38	21	9	8	59:29	72
4	Cayon CD	38	18	16	4	49:18	70
5	Rayo Cantabria	38	17	12	9	47:34	63
6	Guarnizo	38	18	9	11	50:41	63
7	CD Siete Villas	38	17	12	9	50:38	63
8	Barreda Balompie	38	15	8	15	57:52	53
9	UM Escobedo	38	13	12	13	56:42	51
10	Velarde	38	13	12	13	53:45	51
11	Textil Escudo	38	14	5	19	51:52	47
12	Castro	38	12	10	16	48:50	46
13	Bezana	38	11	12	15	43:68	45
14	Atletico Albericia	38	13	5	20	41:54	44
15	Vimenor	38	10	14	14	59:61	44
16	Selaya	38	11	11	16	33:59	44
17	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)	38	9	13	16	44:54	40
18	CD Revilla	38	8	12	18	38:70	36
19	Escuela Meruelo	38	6	7	25	31:76	25
20	CD Colindres	38	2	7	29	23:85	13