Prediksi Olahraga

Brasil

Paulista B

Flamengo SP

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Paulista B encounter between Guarulhos and Flamengo SP promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Guarulhos averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Flamengo SP shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Guarulhos, 3 wins for Flamengo SP, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 31.05.26 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.38 for Guarulhos and 1.25 for Flamengo SP, suggesting the primary value lies in the Flamengo SP double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

29%

Guarulhos

22%

Seri

49%

Flamengo SP

Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Flamengo SP

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

78% / Tinggi Keyakinan

Guarulhos mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Flamengo SP.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.38 vs 1.25 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 74%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 54%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 32%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 16%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 43%

Guarulhos Tanpa Kebobolan 19%

Flamengo SP Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Gol Babak Pertama 67%

Gol Babak Kedua 70%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Guarulhos	Flamengo SP
Main	30	30
Menang	10	15
Seri	4	10
Kalah	16	5
Gol Masuk	1.3	1.47
Gol Kemasukan	2.03	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	1.13	0.75

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

31.05.26 Paulista B

Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP

Penguasaan: 56% - 52% Kartu: 1 - 2

1:0

25.04.26 Paulista B

Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos

Penguasaan: 52% - 42% Kartu: 3 - 0

2:0

21.06.25 Paulista B

Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos

Penguasaan: 49% - 51% Kartu: 1 - 2

0:0

18.05.25 Paulista B

Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP

Penguasaan: 42% - 41% Kartu: 1 - 1

0:2

10.06.23 Paulista A4

Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos

Penguasaan: 46% - 60% Kartu: 1 - 3

2:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Guarulhos

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Flamengo SP

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Guarulhos Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Lucas Ribeiro

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.54

Rata-rata xA / laga 1

Flamengo SP Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A

0 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.25

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.77

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Guarulhos 30 / 100

Flamengo SP 46 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Guarulhos Flamengo SP

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Flamengo SP or Draw (X2)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Guarulhos 32%

Flamengo SP 39%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Guarulhos 28%

Flamengo SP 51%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Guarulhos 29%

Flamengo SP 49%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Guarulhos 30%

Flamengo SP 47%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Guarulhos 26%

Flamengo SP 54%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Guarulhos 33%

Flamengo SP 56%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Guarulhos menyerang → ← menyerang Flamengo SP

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Guarulhos have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Flamengo SP have conceded at least one goal in 60% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.40 goals per match.

Guarulhos remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Flamengo SP suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

34 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 55

2.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.38

1.13 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jose Bonifacio EC	10	6	4	0	17:6	22
2	America SP	10	5	4	1	13:7	19
3	Assisense	10	3	5	2	17:15	14
4	Tupa	10	4	1	5	14:16	13
5	Riopretano	10	1	4	5	9:16	7
6	Santa Fe SP	10	2	0	8	10:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente SP	10	8	0	2	37:7	24
2	Matonense	10	7	1	2	28:10	22
3	Sao Carlos	10	4	3	3	19:11	15
4	Santacruzense	10	4	2	4	19:13	14
5	Mogi Mirim	10	4	0	6	15:15	12
6	Catanduvense	10	0	0	10	4:66	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo SP	10	7	2	1	13:6	23
2	Paulinense	10	5	0	5	9:16	15
3	Audax-SP	10	5	1	4	15:9	13
4	Paulinia FU	10	3	1	6	11:14	10
5	Votoraty SP	10	2	1	7	12:19	7
6	Guarulhos	10	5	1	4	19:15	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Itaqua	10	8	1	1	21:6	25
2	Maua FC	10	4	4	2	20:15	16
3	Uniao Mogi	10	5	2	3	14:13	14
4	Manthiqueira	10	4	2	4	17:17	14
5	Mauaense	10	3	3	4	10:10	12
6	Barcelona SP	10	0	0	10	5:26	0