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Heeslinger SC vs MTV Wolfenbuttel

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Oberliga Niedersachsen
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Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Oberliga Niedersachsen encounter between Heeslinger SC and MTV Wolfenbuttel promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Heeslinger SC averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. MTV Wolfenbuttel shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Heeslinger SC, 1 wins for MTV Wolfenbuttel, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.05.26 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.31 for Heeslinger SC and 2.06 for MTV Wolfenbuttel, suggesting the primary value lies in the Heeslinger SC double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

49%
Heeslinger SC
23%
Seri
28%
MTV Wolfenbuttel
Proyeksi hasil seri: 23% Unggulan: Heeslinger SC

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

79% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Heeslinger SC mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding MTV Wolfenbuttel.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (2.31 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 75%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 88%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 75%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 45%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 23%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 66%
Heeslinger SC Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
MTV Wolfenbuttel Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 79%
Gol Babak Kedua 84%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Heeslinger SC MTV Wolfenbuttel
Main 32 28
Menang 17 9
Seri 4 4
Kalah 11 15
Gol Masuk 2.19 2.04
Gol Kemasukan 1.59 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 3.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

03.05.26 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Heeslinger SC vs MTV Wolfenbuttel
1:2
01.11.25 Oberliga Niedersachsen
MTV Wolfenbuttel vs Heeslinger SC
0:1
30.04.20 Oberliga Niedersachsen
MTV Wolfenbuttel vs Heeslinger SC
0:0
25.08.19 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Heeslinger SC vs MTV Wolfenbuttel
7:0
03.03.19 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Heeslinger SC vs MTV Wolfenbuttel
1:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Heeslinger SC

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

MTV Wolfenbuttel

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Heeslinger SC 46 / 100
MTV Wolfenbuttel 27 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Heeslinger SC MTV Wolfenbuttel

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Heeslinger SC or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Heeslinger SC is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Heeslinger SC 54%
MTV Wolfenbuttel 22%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

MTV Wolfenbuttel will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Heeslinger SC's attacks.

Heeslinger SC 47%
MTV Wolfenbuttel 29%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Heeslinger SC to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Heeslinger SC 49%
MTV Wolfenbuttel 28%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Heeslinger SC vary their attacking width.

Heeslinger SC 51%
MTV Wolfenbuttel 27%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for MTV Wolfenbuttel, allowing Heeslinger SC's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Heeslinger SC 44%
MTV Wolfenbuttel 31%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect a final offensive push from Heeslinger SC, while MTV Wolfenbuttel takes risks to salvage a result.

Heeslinger SC 56%
MTV Wolfenbuttel 32%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Heeslinger SC menyerang → ← menyerang MTV Wolfenbuttel

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Heeslinger SC have found the net in 91% of their last 32 matches.

MTV Wolfenbuttel have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Heeslinger SC remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

MTV Wolfenbuttel suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

55 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 31
2.25 Expected goals (xG) 3.00
1.13 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Delmenhorst30206469:2966
2Egestorf-Langreder30185763:3659
3Heeslinger SC30174972:4755
4Hildesheim301611353:5549
5SV Wilhelmshaven301461047:3848
6Luneburger Hansa301212646:4348
7Spelle-Venhaus301210861:4746
8Meppen II301281045:4044
9TuS Bersenbruck301191066:6742
10BSV Rehden301261248:4942
11Verden301151450:4938
12Braunschweig U23301151454:5738
13MTV Wolfenbuttel301151459:6738
14Wetschen30691553:6527
15Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg30362127:7115
16Holthausen-Biene30352240:9314