Prediksi Olahraga
Ringkasan Pertandingan
This Oberliga Bayern Nord 2015/2016 encounter between Jahn Forchheim and Burglengenfeld promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jahn Forchheim averages 1.7 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in recent matches. Burglengenfeld shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Jahn Forchheim, 0 wins for Burglengenfeld, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.04.16 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.44 for Jahn Forchheim and 3.06 for Burglengenfeld, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jahn Forchheim double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- Jahn Forchheim mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Burglengenfeld.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (2.44 vs 3.06 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 62%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Jahn Forchheim | Burglengenfeld |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 34 | 30 |
| Menang | 10 | 7 |
| Seri | 5 | 5 |
| Kalah | 19 | 18 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.71 | 1.03 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 2.44 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) | 3.63 | 3.50 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
Jahn Forchheim
Burglengenfeld
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
Jahn Forchheim is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Burglengenfeld will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Jahn Forchheim's attacks.
Expect Jahn Forchheim to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Jahn Forchheim vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Burglengenfeld, allowing Jahn Forchheim's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Jahn Forchheim, while Burglengenfeld takes risks to salvage a result.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Jahn Forchheim have found the net in 65% of their last 34 matches.
Burglengenfeld have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
Jahn Forchheim remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Burglengenfeld suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Seligenporten | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 72:42 | 69 |
| 2 | Vfb Eichstatt | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:44 | 68 |
| 3 | Bayern Hof | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 68:40 | 67 |
| 4 | Grossbardorf | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 57:23 | 67 |
| 5 | Weiden | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 64:26 | 67 |
| 6 | Alemannia Haibach | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 58:49 | 58 |
| 7 | Eltersdorf | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 55:55 | 48 |
| 8 | TSV Aubstadt | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 48:49 | 47 |
| 9 | 1. FC Sand | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 50:57 | 46 |
| 10 | Feucht | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 57:61 | 40 |
| 11 | DJK Don Bosco Bamberg | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 55:75 | 39 |
| 12 | Wurzburger FV | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:55 | 38 |
| 13 | Regensburg II | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 47:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Erlenbach | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 39:51 | 35 |
| 15 | Burglengenfeld | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:51 | 33 |
| 16 | Jahn Forchheim | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 38:74 | 31 |
| 17 | Frohnlach | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 41:66 | 30 |
| 18 | Bamberg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 52:79 | 29 |