Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Jahn Forchheim vs Burglengenfeld

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Oberliga Bayern Nord 2015/2016
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Oberliga Bayern Nord 2015/2016 encounter between Jahn Forchheim and Burglengenfeld promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jahn Forchheim averages 1.7 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in recent matches. Burglengenfeld shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Jahn Forchheim, 0 wins for Burglengenfeld, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.04.16 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.44 for Jahn Forchheim and 3.06 for Burglengenfeld, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jahn Forchheim double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

55%
Jahn Forchheim
16%
Seri
29%
Burglengenfeld
Proyeksi hasil seri: 16% Unggulan: Jahn Forchheim

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

81% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Jahn Forchheim mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Burglengenfeld.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (2.44 vs 3.06 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 62%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 85%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 62%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 19%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 47%
Jahn Forchheim Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Burglengenfeld Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 77%
Gol Babak Kedua 81%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Jahn Forchheim Burglengenfeld
Main 34 30
Menang 10 7
Seri 5 5
Kalah 19 18
Gol Masuk 1.71 1.03
Gol Kemasukan 2.44 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 3.63 3.50

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

16.04.16 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Jahn Forchheim vs Burglengenfeld
1:0
20.09.15 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Burglengenfeld vs Jahn Forchheim
0:2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Jahn Forchheim

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Burglengenfeld

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Jahn Forchheim 52 / 100
Burglengenfeld 28 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Jahn Forchheim Burglengenfeld

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Jahn Forchheim Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Jahn Forchheim & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Jahn Forchheim is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Jahn Forchheim 61%
Burglengenfeld 23%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Burglengenfeld will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Jahn Forchheim's attacks.

Jahn Forchheim 52%
Burglengenfeld 30%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Jahn Forchheim to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Jahn Forchheim 55%
Burglengenfeld 29%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Jahn Forchheim vary their attacking width.

Jahn Forchheim 58%
Burglengenfeld 28%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Burglengenfeld, allowing Jahn Forchheim's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Jahn Forchheim 50%
Burglengenfeld 32%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect a final offensive push from Jahn Forchheim, while Burglengenfeld takes risks to salvage a result.

Jahn Forchheim 63%
Burglengenfeld 33%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Jahn Forchheim menyerang → ← menyerang Burglengenfeld

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Jahn Forchheim have found the net in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Burglengenfeld have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.

Jahn Forchheim remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Burglengenfeld suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

35 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 26
1.38 Expected goals (xG) 2.50
3.63 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SV Seligenporten34216772:4269
2Vfb Eichstatt34215870:4468
3Bayern Hof34214968:4067
4Grossbardorf341910557:2367
5Weiden34207764:2667
6Alemannia Haibach341771058:4958
7Eltersdorf341391255:5548
8TSV Aubstadt341381348:4947
91. FC Sand341371450:5746
10Feucht341171657:6140
11DJK Don Bosco Bamberg341161755:7539
12Wurzburger FV341081643:5538
13Regensburg II341081647:4938
14Erlenbach348111539:5135
15Burglengenfeld34891732:5133
16Jahn Forchheim34871938:7431
17Frohnlach34791841:6630
18Bamberg34781952:7929