Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Kazakhstan vs Wales

World World

World Championship 2026 Astana Arena
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Kazakhstan play Wales in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kazakhstan averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Wales averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Kazakhstan won 0, Wales won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on 4 Sep 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Kazakhstan and 1.44 for Wales. This points to a Wales double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

24%
Kazakhstan
24%
Seri
52%
Wales
Proyeksi hasil seri: 24% Unggulan: Wales

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Kazakhstan mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Wales.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.25 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 74%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 49%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 29%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 15%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 46%
Kazakhstan Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Wales Tanpa Kebobolan 11%
Gol Babak Pertama 67%
Gol Babak Kedua 70%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Kazakhstan Wales
Main 29 30
Menang 7 12
Seri 4 10
Kalah 18 8
Gol Masuk 0.93 1.6
Gol Kemasukan 1.86 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

4 Sep 2025 World Championship
Kazakhstan vs Wales
0:1
22 Mar 2025 World Championship
Wales vs Kazakhstan
3:1

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Kazakhstan Bandingkan

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.77
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.5

Wales Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Moore K.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.48
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.91

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Kazakhstan 25 / 100
Wales 49 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Kazakhstan Wales

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Wales or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Kazakhstan menyerang → ← menyerang Wales

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Kazakhstan scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Wales let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kazakhstan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Wales lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Faktor Risiko

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Faktor Risiko

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

25 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 46
1.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.63
1.25 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280