Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Khooneh vs Mes Rafsanjan

Iran Iran

Division 1 2018/2019
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Division 1 2018/2019 encounter between Khooneh and Mes Rafsanjan promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Khooneh averages 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Mes Rafsanjan shows a form average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Khooneh, 2 wins for Mes Rafsanjan, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 23.04.19 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for Khooneh and 0.86 for Mes Rafsanjan, suggesting the primary value lies in the Khooneh double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

38%
Khooneh
33%
Seri
29%
Mes Rafsanjan
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Khooneh

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

73% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Khooneh mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Mes Rafsanjan.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.29 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 52%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 28%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 17%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 8%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 30%
Khooneh Tanpa Kebobolan 25%
Mes Rafsanjan Tanpa Kebobolan 11%
Gol Babak Pertama 47%
Gol Babak Kedua 49%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Khooneh Mes Rafsanjan
Main 30 29
Menang 7 5
Seri 10 8
Kalah 13 16
Gol Masuk 0.73 0.62
Gol Kemasukan 0.93 1.28

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

23.04.19 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Khooneh
1:0
08.12.18 Azadegan League
Khooneh vs Mes Rafsanjan
2:2
07.01.18 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Khooneh
1:0
07.08.17 Azadegan League
Khooneh vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:1
13.01.17 Azadegan League
Khooneh vs Mes Rafsanjan
3:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Khooneh

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Mes Rafsanjan

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Khooneh Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Kiani E.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0
Rata-rata xA / laga 0

Mes Rafsanjan Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Khan Ahmadi M.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Marzban A.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.57
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.35

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Khooneh 39 / 100
Mes Rafsanjan 28 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Khooneh Mes Rafsanjan

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Khooneh or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Khooneh 42%
Mes Rafsanjan 23%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Khooneh 36%
Mes Rafsanjan 30%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Khooneh 38%
Mes Rafsanjan 29%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Khooneh 40%
Mes Rafsanjan 28%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Khooneh 34%
Mes Rafsanjan 32%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Khooneh 44%
Mes Rafsanjan 33%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Khooneh menyerang → ← menyerang Mes Rafsanjan

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Khooneh have found the net in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Mes Rafsanjan have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Khooneh remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Mes Rafsanjan suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

31 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 23
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.63
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gol Gohar301513247:2658
2Shahin Bushehr301412434:1754
3Gol Reyhan Alborz30139830:1948
4Aluminium Arak301212627:2348
5Mes Kerman301211738:2247
6Havadar SC301110948:3843
7Baderan Tehran301110935:3243
8Qashqai Shiraz301161328:3439
9Fajr Sepasi309111026:2438
10Mes Rafsanjan30991240:4236
11Malavan301011929:2835
12Khooneh307101322:3031
13Navad Urmia307101323:4031
14Shahrdari Tabriz306101427:4528
15Arvand Khorramshahr306101417:3628
16Shahrdari Mahshahr305101519:3425
17Meshki Pooshan00000:00
18Bargh00000:00
19Naft Tehran00000:00
20Machine Sazi Tabriz00000:00
21Gostaresh00000:00
22Esteghlal Jonoub00000:00