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LDU Quito vs U. Catolica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Kam, 5 Nov 2026
VS
12.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: LDU Quito at 1.28 goals for, 0.78 against; U. Catolica at 1.59 for, 1.09 against. Past meetings favor LDU Quito slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 20 Sep 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.00, favoring LDU Quito. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
LDU Quito
39%
Seri
31%
U. Catolica
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • LDU Quito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • LDU Quito have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor LDU Quito, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 12.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 6%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.4%
LDU Quito Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
U. Catolica Tanpa Kebobolan 13%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik LDU Quito U. Catolica
Main 32 32
Menang 15 14
Seri 9 8
Kalah 8 10
Gol Masuk 1.28 1.59
Gol Kemasukan 0.78 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

20 Sep 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs U. Catolica
2:1
15 Jul 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs LDU Quito
1:0
15 Mar 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs U. Catolica
1:1
21 Des 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs U. Catolica
2:0
19 Des 2025 Copa Ecuador
LDU Quito vs U. Catolica
2:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

LDU Quito 31 / 100
U. Catolica 31 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
LDU Quito U. Catolica

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama LDU Quito Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

LDU Quito's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: U. Catolica conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: LDU Quito stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

LDU Quito VS U. Catolica
1.5 Gol Dicetak 0.88
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 0.75
75% Atas 1.5 50%
50% Atas 2.5 25%
25% Atas 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
24 Oct
LDU Quito
1 : 2
Macara
17 Oct
Aucas
1 : 1
LDU Quito
11 Oct
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Barcelona SC
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 7

U. Catolica

(Away)
23 Oct
Independiente del Valle
0 : 0
U. Catolica
18 Oct
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
U. Catolica
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Macara
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 0
LDU Portoviejo 3
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 1
Aucas 0
Astillero 0
U. Catolica 1
Independiente del Valle 2
Gualaceo 0
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 2
Semi-finals
LDU Quito -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Delfin -
Final
TBD -
TBD -