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Le Mans vs Toulouse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Prancis Prancis

Ligue 1 Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
Jum, 16 Okt 2026
VS
06.45 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Le Mans host Toulouse in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Toulouse have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while Le Mans have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Toulouse slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 30 Jan 2010, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.31) back Le Mans to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
Le Mans
39%
Seri
31%
Toulouse
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Le Mans average 1.64 goals a game right now, well clear of Toulouse's 1.26.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Toulouse here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 44%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 20%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 74.6%
Le Mans Tanpa Kebobolan 18%
Toulouse Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Le Mans Toulouse
Main 28 31
Menang 11 11
Seri 11 7
Kalah 6 13
Gol Masuk 1.64 1.26
Gol Kemasukan 1.25 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

30 Jan 2010 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Toulouse
1:3
20 Sep 2009 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Le Mans
2:0
7 Feb 2009 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Le Mans
2:0
13 Sep 2008 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Toulouse
1:2
22 Mar 2008 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Le Mans
1:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Le Mans 31 / 100
Toulouse 30 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Le Mans Toulouse

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Le Mans Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Le Mans scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Toulouse has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Le Mans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Le Mans VS Toulouse
1.25 Gol Dicetak 1.25
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 2.13
75% Atas 1.5 88%
50% Atas 2.5 75%
38% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans

(Home)
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
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Toulouse

(Away)
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Lens 6 2 1 3 11:10 7
8 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
10 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
11 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
12 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
15 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
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