Prediksi Olahraga
Ringkasan Pertandingan
Lens W enters this Division 2 Women 2021/2022 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Lens W averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Saint-Maur W shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Lens W, 1 wins for Saint-Maur W, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.01.24 ended in a 0:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Lens W and 1.00 for Saint-Maur W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Lens W double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- Lens W mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Saint-Maur W.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 60%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Lens W | Saint-Maur W |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 33 | 24 |
| Menang | 10 | 3 |
| Seri | 4 | 4 |
| Kalah | 19 | 17 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.15 | 0.79 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 1.88 | 2.21 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
Lens W
Saint-Maur W
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
Lens W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Saint-Maur W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Lens W's attacks.
Expect Lens W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Lens W vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Saint-Maur W, allowing Lens W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Lens W, while Saint-Maur W takes risks to salvage a result.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Lens W have found the net in 67% of their last 33 matches.
Saint-Maur W have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 24 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.
Lens W remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Saint-Maur W suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Le Havre W | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 48:20 | 51 |
| 2 | Nantes W | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 51:12 | 50 |
| 3 | Lille W | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 52:23 | 42 |
| 4 | Metz W | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 40:27 | 38 |
| 5 | Strasbourg W | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29:18 | 37 |
| 6 | Lens W | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40:39 | 35 |
| 7 | Saint-Malo W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:29 | 26 |
| 8 | La Roche W | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Orleans W | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28:35 | 25 |
| 10 | Brest W | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 25:45 | 22 |
| 11 | Saint-Maur W | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19:45 | 13 |
| 12 | Vendenheim W | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 12:68 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodez AF W | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 47:16 | 51 |
| 2 | Nice W | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 56:30 | 40 |
| 3 | Montauban W | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 51:37 | 36 |
| 4 | Yzeure Allier W | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 32:22 | 35 |
| 5 | Thonon Evian W | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 31:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Grenoble W | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 28 |
| 7 | Marseille W | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38:29 | 27 |
| 8 | Albi-Marssac W | 20 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 28:38 | 22 |
| 9 | Le Puy W | 20 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 26:39 | 22 |
| 10 | Nimes W | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 23:37 | 16 |
| 11 | Merignac W | 20 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8:66 | 7 |