Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Leones del Norte vs Manta

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Liga Pro encounter between Leones del Norte and Manta promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Leones del Norte averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Manta shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Leones del Norte, 2 wins for Manta, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.04.26 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.13 for Leones del Norte and 0.69 for Manta, suggesting the primary value lies in the Leones del Norte double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

42%
Leones del Norte
25%
Seri
33%
Manta
Proyeksi hasil seri: 25% Unggulan: Leones del Norte

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

73% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Leones del Norte mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Manta.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.13 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 65%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 33%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 20%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 10%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 43%
Leones del Norte Tanpa Kebobolan 28%
Manta Tanpa Kebobolan 13%
Gol Babak Pertama 59%
Gol Babak Kedua 62%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Leones del Norte Manta
Main 29 29
Menang 9 8
Seri 10 6
Kalah 10 15
Gol Masuk 0.93 0.83
Gol Kemasukan 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

22.04.26 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Manta
3:0
26.09.24 Serie B
Leones del Norte vs Manta
1:1
07.08.24 Serie B
Manta vs Leones del Norte
2:1
05.06.24 Serie B
Manta vs Leones del Norte
3:1
11.04.24 Serie B
Leones del Norte vs Manta
3:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Leones del Norte

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Manta

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Leones del Norte Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Anangono J.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Solano C.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.06
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.69

Manta Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A
0 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.35
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.21

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Leones del Norte 43 / 100
Manta 32 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Leones del Norte Manta

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Leones del Norte or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Leones del Norte 46%
Manta 26%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Leones del Norte 40%
Manta 35%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Leones del Norte 42%
Manta 33%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Leones del Norte 44%
Manta 31%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Leones del Norte 38%
Manta 36%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Leones del Norte 48%
Manta 38%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Leones del Norte menyerang → ← menyerang Manta

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Leones del Norte have found the net in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Manta have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Leones del Norte remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Manta suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

37 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 30
1.38 Expected goals (xG) 0.38
1.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independiente del Valle16121332:1837
2LDU Quito1683519:1327
3Dep. Cuenca1683518:1727
4U. Catolica1675426:1426
5Barcelona SC1675418:1326
6Aucas1675419:1626
7Orense1664621:2222
8Emelec1664613:1622
9Tecnico U.1662817:1620
10Macara1655615:1820
11Guayaquil City1654714:1919
12Mushuc Runa1646619:2118
13Leones del Norte1645715:1817
14Libertad1645716:2217
15Delfin164488:1516
16Manta1633107:1912