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Leones Negros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Min, 18 Okt 2026
VS
06.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Leones Negros host Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Liga de Expansion MX. This one's hard to separate. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Leones Negros have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Leones Negros slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 28 Mar 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.19, favoring Leones Negros. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Leones Negros
6%
Seri
4%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Leones Negros

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Leones Negros lately — more wins on the board than Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
  • Leones Negros are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 98%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 87.5%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 74.2%
Leones Negros Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Leones Negros Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Main 30 30
Menang 10 9
Seri 7 7
Kalah 13 14
Gol Masuk 1.5 1.13
Gol Kemasukan 1.7 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

28 Mar 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros
1:1
18 Okt 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0:1
16 Mar 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:2
29 Sep 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros
2:2
15 Feb 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros
0:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Leones Negros 85 / 100
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Leones Negros Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Leones Negros Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Alebrijes de Oaxaca let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Leones Negros's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Leones Negros remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Leones Negros VS Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.88 Gol Dicetak 1
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 1.63
100% Atas 1.5 75%
75% Atas 2.5 50%
50% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones Negros

(Home)
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3
Dorados de Sinaloa
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2
Leones Negros
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0
Leones Negros
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2
Atletico La Paz
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3
Leones Negros
Page 1 of 6

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

(Away)
09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Correcaminos
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3
Atletico La Paz
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico La Paz 12 7 2 3 28:15 23
2 Leones Negros 11 7 2 2 27:16 23
3 Club Atletico Morelia 12 7 2 3 22:13 23
4 Venados FC 11 6 1 4 26:21 19
5 Piratas 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
6 Zacatecas Mineros 11 5 2 4 23:19 17
7 Cancun 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
8 Alacranes de Durango 11 5 2 4 11:11 17
9 Correcaminos 12 4 4 4 20:20 16
10 Tapatio 11 4 2 5 19:19 14
11 Dorados de Sinaloa 11 3 4 4 20:20 13
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12 4 1 7 10:23 13
13 Tlaxcala 11 3 3 5 19:23 12
14 Jaiba Brava 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 11 2 1 8 9:30 7
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)