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Stadium Background

Libertad Asuncion vs Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asunción
Min, 11 Okt 2026
VS
10.20 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Libertad Asuncion have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Guarani's 0.97 scored and 0.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Libertad Asuncion have won 1 to Guarani's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on 2 Agu 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Libertad Asuncion. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Libertad Asuncion
40%
Seri
29%
Guarani
Proyeksi hasil seri: 40% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Guarani haven't matched Libertad Asuncion's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Libertad Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71%
Libertad Asuncion Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Guarani Tanpa Kebobolan 15%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Libertad Asuncion Guarani
Main 32 29
Menang 15 10
Seri 4 11
Kalah 13 8
Gol Masuk 1.38 0.97
Gol Kemasukan 1.28 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

2 Agu 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion
2:1
5 Apr 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion
1:0
8 Feb 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Guarani
3:3
9 Nov 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion
1:2
1 Okt 2025 Copa Paraguay
Libertad Asuncion vs Guarani
2:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Libertad Asuncion 32 / 100
Guarani 29 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Libertad Asuncion Guarani

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Libertad Asuncion's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Libertad Asuncion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guarani conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Tren Skor

Libertad Asuncion VS Guarani
1.5 Gol Dicetak 1
1 Gol Kebobolan 0.5
75% Atas 1.5 63%
38% Atas 2.5 0%
13% Atas 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad Asuncion

(Home)
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2
Rubio Nu
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Guarani

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 12 8 1 3 21:9 25
2 Libertad Asuncion 12 7 2 3 19:13 23
3 Nacional Asuncion 12 6 4 2 19:7 22
4 2 de Mayo 12 6 4 2 14:13 22
5 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
6 Sportivo Trinidense 12 6 2 4 20:11 20
7 Sportivo Ameliano 12 4 6 2 14:13 18
8 Cerro Porteno 12 5 2 5 15:12 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 12 4 1 7 12:21 13
10 Rubio Nu 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
11 Recoleta 12 2 2 8 13:24 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)