Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Liberte vs US Gendarmerie

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Super Ligue encounter between Liberte and US Gendarmerie promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Liberte averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. US Gendarmerie shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Liberte, 4 wins for US Gendarmerie, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.05.26 ended in a 0:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.88 for Liberte and 1.50 for US Gendarmerie, suggesting the primary value lies in the US Gendarmerie double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

23%
Liberte
29%
Seri
48%
US Gendarmerie
Proyeksi hasil seri: 29% Unggulan: US Gendarmerie

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

81% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Liberte mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding US Gendarmerie.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.88 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 66%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 43%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 26%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 13%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 40%
Liberte Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
US Gendarmerie Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Gol Babak Pertama 59%
Gol Babak Kedua 63%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Liberte US Gendarmerie
Main 30 30
Menang 7 17
Seri 11 9
Kalah 12 4
Gol Masuk 0.93 1.6
Gol Kemasukan 1.53 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

11.05.26 Super Ligue
Liberte vs US Gendarmerie
0:4
30.11.25 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Liberte
5:0
01.05.25 Super Ligue
Liberte vs US Gendarmerie
0:1
24.01.25 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Liberte
1:0
08.06.24 Super Ligue
Liberte vs US Gendarmerie
1:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Liberte

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

US Gendarmerie

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Liberte 24 / 100
US Gendarmerie 47 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Liberte US Gendarmerie

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: US Gendarmerie or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

US Gendarmerie will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Liberte 25%
US Gendarmerie 38%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Liberte will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize US Gendarmerie's early runs.

Liberte 22%
US Gendarmerie 50%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect US Gendarmerie to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Liberte tries to push forward.

Liberte 23%
US Gendarmerie 48%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see US Gendarmerie increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Liberte 24%
US Gendarmerie 46%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Liberte's defense, opening up opportunities for US Gendarmerie's forward line.

Liberte 21%
US Gendarmerie 53%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect US Gendarmerie to manage the closing stages, while Liberte searches for late drama.

Liberte 26%
US Gendarmerie 55%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Liberte menyerang → ← menyerang US Gendarmerie

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Liberte have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

US Gendarmerie have conceded at least one goal in 40% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Liberte remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

US Gendarmerie suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

32 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 60
1.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.75
1.25 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.75