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Macae vs Goncalense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brasil Brasil

Carioca B1
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
09.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Macae host Goncalense in the Carioca B1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Macae have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Goncalense's 0.9 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Goncalense slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 13 Mei 2023, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.13) back Goncalense to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Macae
30%
Seri
34%
Goncalense
Proyeksi hasil seri: 30% Unggulan: Macae

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Goncalense haven't matched Macae's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Macae a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Goncalense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 68.6%
Macae Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Goncalense Tanpa Kebobolan 17%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Macae Goncalense
Main 28 30
Menang 10 9
Seri 6 12
Kalah 12 9
Gol Masuk 1.25 0.9
Gol Kemasukan 1.18 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

13 Mei 2023 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Macae
1:0
9 Jul 2022 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Macae
2:1
7 Agu 2021 Carioca 2
Macae vs Goncalense
1:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Macae 36 / 100
Goncalense 34 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Macae Goncalense

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Macae's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Goncalense has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Macae stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Macae VS Goncalense
1.13 Gol Dicetak 1
1.25 Gol Kebobolan 0.57
75% Atas 1.5 57%
38% Atas 2.5 14%
25% Atas 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Macae

(Home)
03 Oct
Macae
4 : 3
AA Carapebus
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
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Goncalense

(Away)
09 Oct
Goncalense
1 : 1
Artsul
03 Oct
Campo Grande
0 : 0
Goncalense
26 Sept
Goncalense
3 : 2
Audax RJ
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
3 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Goncalense 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
5 Artsul 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)