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Malveira vs Fazendense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Estadio das Seixas, Malveira
Min, 11 Okt 2026
VS
02.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Malveira host Fazendense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fazendense have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Malveira have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.31. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.25 - 1.60) back Malveira to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Malveira
44%
Seri
20%
Fazendense
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Malveira come out ahead of Fazendense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 21.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 10%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.4%
Malveira Tanpa Kebobolan 14%
Fazendense Tanpa Kebobolan 11%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Malveira Fazendense
Main 32 13
Menang 11 3
Seri 11 1
Kalah 10 9
Gol Masuk 1.31 1.23
Gol Kemasukan 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.60
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Malveira 35 / 100
Fazendense 20 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Malveira Fazendense

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Fazendense Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Defensive concern: Fazendense conceded in 85% of 13 recent games.

Malveira scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Difficult form: Fazendense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Malveira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tren Skor

Malveira VS Fazendense
0.63 Gol Dicetak 1.71
1.5 Gol Kebobolan 1.86
88% Atas 1.5 71%
38% Atas 2.5 71%
0% Atas 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Malveira

(Home)
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
16 Aug
Malveira
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
Page 1 of 7

Fazendense

(Away)
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0
Fazendense
20 Sept
Fazendense
6 : 1
Figueirense
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Fazendense
30 Aug
Fazendense
1 : 0
Mocarriense
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mortagua FC 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 O Elvas CAD 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Oliveira Hospital 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Os Marialvas 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
5 Uniao Da Serra 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
6 Naval 1893 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Nogueirense 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
8 SB Castelo Branco 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
9 Fatima 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 Malveira 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
11 Alverca B 4 1 0 3 6:4 3
12 Sertanense 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
13 Fazendense 4 0 1 3 5:12 1
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)