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Manchester City vs Brighton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inggris Inggris

EFL Cup Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Rab, 28 Okt 2026
VS
07.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Brighton have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Manchester City have conceded 1.04 and scored 2.39. Past meetings favor Brighton slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 7 Jan 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.00, favoring Manchester City. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

27%
Manchester City
33%
Seri
40%
Brighton
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Brighton

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Manchester City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brighton's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Manchester City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 50%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 23%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 69.8%
Manchester City Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Brighton Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Manchester City Brighton
Main 28 25
Menang 21 17
Seri 2 3
Kalah 5 5
Gol Masuk 2.39 2.32
Gol Kemasukan 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

7 Jan 2026 Premier League
Manchester City vs Brighton
1:1
31 Agu 2025 Premier League
Brighton vs Manchester City
2:1
15 Mar 2025 Premier League
Manchester City vs Brighton
2:2
9 Nov 2024 Premier League
Brighton vs Manchester City
2:1
25 Apr 2024 Premier League
Brighton vs Manchester City
0:4

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Manchester City 26 / 100
Brighton 38 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Manchester City Brighton

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Brighton Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Manchester City's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Manchester City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Brighton conceded in 44% of 25 recent games.

Tren Skor

Manchester City VS Brighton
2.75 Gol Dicetak 2.88
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 0.38
75% Atas 1.5 88%
63% Atas 2.5 63%
50% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchester City

(Home)
20 Oct
Manchester City
5 : 1
AEK
17 Oct
Manchester City
3 : 2
Ipswich
14 Oct
Manchester City
2 : 4
PSG
11 Oct
Liverpool
0 : 3
Manchester City
20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3
Sunderland
Page 1 of 6

Brighton

(Away)
18 Oct
Brighton
5 : 0
Crystal Palace
15 Oct
Brighton
4 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
10 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 2
Brighton
19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0
Arsenal
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3
Brighton
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -