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Marek vs Cherno More - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
12.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Marek have averaged 1.04 scored and 0.81 conceded recently, against Cherno More's 0.96 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Cherno More slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2 Mei 2015, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.13) point toward Marek. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Marek
6%
Seri
4%
Cherno More
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Marek

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Marek have won more games recently than Cherno More.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Marek taking it.
  • Marek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cherno More, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Cherno More here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 44%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 20%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 63.4%
Marek Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Cherno More Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Marek Cherno More
Main 26 28
Menang 12 8
Seri 6 8
Kalah 8 12
Gol Masuk 1.04 0.96
Gol Kemasukan 0.81 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

2 Mei 2015 efbet League
Marek vs Cherno More
0:2
20 Mar 2015 efbet League
Cherno More vs Marek
1:0
8 Nov 2014 efbet League
Marek vs Cherno More
1:3
9 Agu 2014 efbet League
Cherno More vs Marek
0:1
12 Okt 2013 Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More vs Marek
2:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Marek 85 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Marek Cherno More

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Marek Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Cherno More's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Marek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Marek scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Tren Skor

Marek VS Cherno More
1.13 Gol Dicetak 1.13
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 2.13
50% Atas 1.5 75%
50% Atas 2.5 63%
25% Atas 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
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Cherno More

(Away)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -