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Mathare United vs Mahia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Sen, 30 Nov 2026
VS
03.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Mathare United host Mahia in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Mathare United have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Mahia's 1.35 scored and 0.92 conceded. Past meetings favor Mahia slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 28 Feb 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 0.44, favoring Mahia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Mathare United
39%
Seri
30%
Mahia
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Mahia lately — more wins on the board than Mathare United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Mahia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 12.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 6%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 68.6%
Mathare United Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Mahia Tanpa Kebobolan 12%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Mathare United Mahia
Main 24 26
Menang 7 14
Seri 7 5
Kalah 10 7
Gol Masuk 0.96 1.35
Gol Kemasukan 1.04 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.44
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

28 Feb 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs Mathare United
2:1
30 Okt 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Mahia
0:2
8 Feb 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Mahia
1:2
28 Sep 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Mathare United
4:0
3 Mei 2023 Premier League
Mahia vs Mathare United
2:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Mathare United 32 / 100
Mahia 29 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Mathare United Mahia

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Mahia Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Mathare United found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Mathare United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Mahia conceded in 58% of 26 recent games.

Tren Skor

Mathare United VS Mahia
0 Gol Dicetak 0.75
0.13 Gol Kebobolan 1.13
0% Atas 1.5 38%
0% Atas 2.5 25%
0% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mathare United

(Home)
24 Oct
Migori
0 : 0
Mathare United
17 Oct
KCB
1 : 0
Mathare United
10 Oct
Mathare United
0 : 0
APS Bomet
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
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Mahia

(Away)
28 Oct
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1
Mahia
24 Oct
Mahia
1 : 0
Bandari
17 Oct
APS Bomet
0 : 1
Mahia
13 Oct
Mahia
4 : 2
Muranga
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 KCB 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Muranga 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
4 Mara Sugar 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
5 Leopards 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
6 APS Bomet 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
7 Shabana 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 3K FC 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Posta Rangers 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
11 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
12 Nairobi United 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Bandari 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Migori 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Police FC 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
16 Mathare United 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
17 Ulinzi Stars 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
18 Mombasa United 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)