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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto
Rab, 21 Okt 2026
VS
10.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Matsumoto Yamaga host Thespakusatsu Gunma in the J3 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Matsumoto Yamaga have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Thespakusatsu Gunma's 1.28 scored and 2.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Matsumoto Yamaga have won 1 to Thespakusatsu Gunma's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 23 Nov 2025, ending 6:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.00) back Matsumoto Yamaga to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

40%
Matsumoto Yamaga
33%
Seri
27%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Matsumoto Yamaga

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Matsumoto Yamaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Matsumoto Yamaga a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Thespakusatsu Gunma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 74.2%
Matsumoto Yamaga Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Matsumoto Yamaga Thespakusatsu Gunma
Main 28 29
Menang 11 9
Seri 5 0
Kalah 12 20
Gol Masuk 1.46 1.28
Gol Kemasukan 1.32 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

23 Nov 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Matsumoto Yamaga
6:2
5 Jul 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:3
30 Okt 2021 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
25 Apr 2021 J2 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:0
2 Des 2020 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Matsumoto Yamaga 40 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 26 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Matsumoto Yamaga Thespakusatsu Gunma

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Matsumoto Yamaga Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Defensive concern: Thespakusatsu Gunma conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Matsumoto Yamaga's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Matsumoto Yamaga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Matsumoto Yamaga VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
1.13 Gol Dicetak 1
1 Gol Kebobolan 1.63
38% Atas 1.5 75%
38% Atas 2.5 63%
25% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Matsumoto Yamaga

(Home)
14 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Kagoshima United
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
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Thespakusatsu Gunma

(Away)
10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1
Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)