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Stadium Background

Merw vs Ahal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Rab, 11 Nov 2026
VS
02.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Merw host Ahal in the Yokary Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Ahal have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Merw have conceded 2.76 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Ahal slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 22 Agu 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.81) point toward Ahal. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

13%
Merw
17%
Seri
70%
Ahal
Proyeksi hasil seri: 17% Unggulan: Ahal

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

88% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Ahal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ahal are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ahal have taken 4 of them.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 94%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 79%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 50%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 23%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71%
Merw Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Ahal Tanpa Kebobolan 14%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Merw Ahal
Main 29 32
Menang 5 19
Seri 4 5
Kalah 20 8
Gol Masuk 1.03 2.22
Gol Kemasukan 2.76 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.81
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

22 Agu 2026 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Merw
4:0
24 Mei 2026 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Ahal
1:3
18 Apr 2026 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Merw
2:2
11 Des 2025 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Ahal
0:2
4 Des 2025 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Merw
4:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Merw 14 / 100
Ahal 66 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Merw Ahal

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Ahal Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Merw scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Ahal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ahal let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Tren Skor

Merw VS Ahal
1 Gol Dicetak 3.13
2.5 Gol Kebobolan 1.13
88% Atas 1.5 100%
63% Atas 2.5 100%
50% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merw

(Home)
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Merw
2 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Merw
3 : 2
FC Asgabat
22 Aug
Ahal
4 : 0
Merw
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Ahal

(Away)
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
2 : 5
Ahal
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
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