Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepidrood Rasht

Iran Iran

Division 1 2019/2020
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Division 1 2019/2020 encounter between Mes Rafsanjan and Sepidrood Rasht promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Mes Rafsanjan averages 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Sepidrood Rasht shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Mes Rafsanjan, 1 wins for Sepidrood Rasht, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 08.01.20 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.92 for Mes Rafsanjan and 1.19 for Sepidrood Rasht, suggesting the primary value lies in the Mes Rafsanjan double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

40%
Mes Rafsanjan
29%
Seri
31%
Sepidrood Rasht
Proyeksi hasil seri: 29% Unggulan: Mes Rafsanjan

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

73% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Mes Rafsanjan mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Sepidrood Rasht.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.92 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 52%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 34%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 20%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 10%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 30%
Mes Rafsanjan Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Sepidrood Rasht Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Gol Babak Pertama 47%
Gol Babak Kedua 49%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Mes Rafsanjan Sepidrood Rasht
Main 30 30
Menang 7 6
Seri 7 5
Kalah 16 19
Gol Masuk 0.67 0.67
Gol Kemasukan 1.17 1.43

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

08.01.20 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepidrood Rasht
1:0
17.08.19 Azadegan League
Sepidrood Rasht vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:0
27.02.17 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepidrood Rasht
0:0
07.10.16 Azadegan League
Sepidrood Rasht vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Mes Rafsanjan

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sepidrood Rasht

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Mes Rafsanjan Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Rezaei M.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.48
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.32

Sepidrood Rasht Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A
0 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0
Rata-rata xA / laga 0

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 40 / 100
Sepidrood Rasht 31 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Mes Rafsanjan Sepidrood Rasht

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Mes Rafsanjan or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Mes Rafsanjan 44%
Sepidrood Rasht 25%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Mes Rafsanjan 38%
Sepidrood Rasht 33%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Mes Rafsanjan 40%
Sepidrood Rasht 31%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Mes Rafsanjan 42%
Sepidrood Rasht 29%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Mes Rafsanjan 36%
Sepidrood Rasht 34%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Mes Rafsanjan 46%
Sepidrood Rasht 36%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Mes Rafsanjan menyerang → ← menyerang Sepidrood Rasht

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Mes Rafsanjan have found the net in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Sepidrood Rasht have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 0.50 goals per match.

Mes Rafsanjan remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sepidrood Rasht suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

28 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 23
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 0.00
1.38 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mes Rafsanjan341910556:2967
2Aluminium Arak341712540:2063
3Mes Kerman341712542:2363
4Khoosheh Talai34178943:2659
5Baderan Tehran341671150:3855
6Havadar SC341413745:3555
7Navad Urmia341313824:2052
8Gol Reyhan Alborz341215739:2751
9Esteghlal Khuzestan341391235:2548
10Fajr Sepasi3411121134:3245
11Arman Gohar3410131140:4243
12Damash Gilan341191427:3542
13Rayka Babol348131331:3337
14Qashqai Shiraz349101533:3837
15Malavan348111531:4035
16Niroye Zamini34891732:4633
17Sepidrood Rasht34862025:4730
18Elmoadab Tabriz34242814:8510