Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Mirandes vs Chaves B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Chaves B is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Mirandes, backed by a win probability of 57%. Mirandes averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Chaves B shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Mirandes, 1 wins for Chaves B, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.04.19 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.42 for Mirandes and 1.49 for Chaves B, suggesting the primary value lies in the Chaves B double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

21%
Mirandes
22%
Seri
57%
Chaves B
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Chaves B

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

86% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Mirandes mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Chaves B.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.42 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 55%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 33%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 52%
Mirandes Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Chaves B Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 70%
Gol Babak Kedua 74%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Mirandes Chaves B
Main 30 28
Menang 5 10
Seri 3 10
Kalah 22 8
Gol Masuk 0.87 1.57
Gol Kemasukan 1.87 1.07

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

14.04.19 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Mirandes vs Chaves B
1:1
01.12.18 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs Mirandes
3:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Mirandes

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Chaves B

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Mirandes 22 / 100
Chaves B 53 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Mirandes Chaves B

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Chaves B Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Chaves B & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Chaves B will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Mirandes 23%
Chaves B 46%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Mirandes will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Chaves B's early runs.

Mirandes 20%
Chaves B 60%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Chaves B to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Mirandes tries to push forward.

Mirandes 21%
Chaves B 57%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see Chaves B increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Mirandes 22%
Chaves B 54%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Mirandes's defense, opening up opportunities for Chaves B's forward line.

Mirandes 19%
Chaves B 63%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Chaves B to manage the closing stages, while Mirandes searches for late drama.

Mirandes 24%
Chaves B 66%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Mirandes menyerang → ← menyerang Chaves B

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Mirandes have found the net in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Chaves B have conceded at least one goal in 71% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.

Mirandes remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Chaves B suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

18 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 40
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.88
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vizela32236373:1375
2AD Fafe32217459:2470
3Sao Martinho32209351:2069
4Trofense32207560:2467
5FC Felgueiras32204855:3364
6SC Mirandela321471149:4149
7Chaves B321381155:4147
8Merelinense3210121038:3842
9CDC Montalegre3210101237:5040
10Pedras Salgadas321161543:5239
11Maria de Fonte329101341:5037
12AD Oliveirense321071540:5537
13AD Limianos321071531:4537
14GD Uniao Torcatense32851929:6029
15Mirandes32562126:5321
16Cacadores Taipas32462227:6418
17Vilaverdense FC32432528:7915
18Gil Vicente00000:00