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Montevideo City vs Atletico-MG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Rab, 21 Okt 2026
VS
10.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Sudamericana. This has Atletico-MG written all over it on paper. Atletico-MG have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Montevideo City have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.81. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Atletico-MG to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Montevideo City
44%
Seri
20%
Atletico-MG
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Montevideo City come out ahead of Atletico-MG on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Montevideo City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 98%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 87.5%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 38%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.8%
Montevideo City Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Atletico-MG Tanpa Kebobolan 12%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Montevideo City Atletico-MG
Main 27 27
Menang 16 14
Seri 3 10
Kalah 8 3
Gol Masuk 1.81 1.52
Gol Kemasukan 1.3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Montevideo City 36 / 100
Atletico-MG 20 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Montevideo City Atletico-MG

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Atletico-MG Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Montevideo City found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Atletico-MG has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Montevideo City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Montevideo City VS Atletico-MG
1.75 Gol Dicetak 1.75
1.5 Gol Kebobolan 1.13
100% Atas 1.5 75%
50% Atas 2.5 50%
38% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevideo City

(Home)
09 Oct
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0
Montevideo City
30 Sept
Montevideo City
1 : 1
Penarol
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Maldonado
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG

(Away)
11 Oct
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Santos
08 Oct
Athletico-PR
2 : 2
Atletico-MG
03 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0
Bragantino
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors 0
Vasco 1
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -