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Morocco U23 vs Ethiopia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Sel, 17 Nov 2026
VS
04.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations U23. This one's hard to separate. Morocco U23 have averaged 1.61 scored and 0.87 conceded recently, against Ethiopia U23's 1 scored and 1.57 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.54 - 0.88) back Morocco U23 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
Morocco U23
39%
Seri
31%
Ethiopia U23
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Morocco U23 have won more games recently than Ethiopia U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Morocco U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 19%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 9%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 69%
Morocco U23 Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Ethiopia U23 Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Morocco U23 Ethiopia U23
Main 31 7
Menang 17 1
Seri 8 4
Kalah 6 2
Gol Masuk 1.61 1
Gol Kemasukan 0.87 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Morocco U23 31 / 100
Ethiopia U23 30 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Morocco U23 Ethiopia U23

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Morocco U23 Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Defensive concern: Ethiopia U23 conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Morocco U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Morocco U23 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Ethiopia U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Morocco U23 VS Ethiopia U23
1.88 Gol Dicetak 0
0.75 Gol Kebobolan 0
50% Atas 1.5 0%
50% Atas 2.5 0%
38% Atas 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U23

(Home)
01 Oct
Morocco U23
1 : 1
Mali U23
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
30 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Morocco U23
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
04 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Belgium U21
Page 1 of 7

Ethiopia U23

(Away)
27 Sept
D.R. Congo U23
1 : 0
Ethiopia U23
22 Sept
Ethiopia U23
0 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
28 Jul
Ethiopia U23
2 : 1
D.R. Congo U23
23 Jul
Ethiopia U23
1 : 1
Burundi U23
17 Jul
Ethiopia U23
3 : 3
Eritrea U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -