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Morton vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Cappielow Park, Greenock
Sel, 3 Nov 2026
VS
07.45 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 4-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Kelty Hearts have shipped 2.19 goals a game lately, while Morton have conceded 1.69 and scored 0.69. Head-to-head, Morton have won 2 to Kelty Hearts's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 14 Okt 2023, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.50) back Kelty Hearts to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

80%
Morton
11%
Seri
9%
Kelty Hearts
Proyeksi hasil seri: 11% Unggulan: Morton

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

93% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Morton haven't matched Kelty Hearts's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Morton's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Kelty Hearts arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morton, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.4%
Morton Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Kelty Hearts Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Morton Kelty Hearts
Main 26 27
Menang 4 11
Seri 4 0
Kalah 18 16
Gol Masuk 0.69 1.48
Gol Kemasukan 1.69 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

14 Okt 2023 Challenge Cup
Morton vs Kelty Hearts
4:1
15 Jul 2023 League Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Morton
1:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Morton 75 / 100
Kelty Hearts 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Morton Kelty Hearts

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Morton Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Kelty Hearts let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Kelty Hearts registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Morton found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).

Tren Skor

Morton VS Kelty Hearts
0.75 Gol Dicetak 1.75
1.25 Gol Kebobolan 2.13
63% Atas 1.5 100%
38% Atas 2.5 88%
13% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
17 Oct
Morton
2 : 0
Queen's Park
10 Oct
Arbroath
1 : 2
Morton
03 Oct
Morton
1 : 2
Raith
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
Page 1 of 6

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
24 Oct
Edinburgh City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
17 Oct
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
10 Oct
Stirling
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Stenhousemuir -
Berwick -
Aberdeen B -
Queen's Park -
East Kilbride -
Stirling -
St. Mirren B -
Peterhead -
Arbroath -
Queen of the South -
Annan -
Ayr -
Clydebank FC -
Alloa -
Spartans -
Livingston -
Airdrieonians -
Elgin City -
Edinburgh City -
Partick -
Inverness -
Montrose -
Formartine Utd -
Cove Rangers -
Ross County -
Celtic B -
Hamilton -
Raith -
Morton -
Kelty Hearts -
Bonnyrigg Rose -
Dunfermline -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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