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Stadium Background

Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción
Sen, 12 Okt 2026
VS
10.20 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 3-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nacional Asuncion have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Recoleta's 1.44 scored and 1.74 conceded. Past meetings favor Recoleta slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 3 Agu 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.88, favoring Nacional Asuncion. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

40%
Nacional Asuncion
33%
Seri
27%
Recoleta
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Nacional Asuncion

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Nacional Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
  • Model gives Nacional Asuncion a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Nacional Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 77%
Nacional Asuncion Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Recoleta Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Nacional Asuncion Recoleta
Main 29 34
Menang 13 10
Seri 11 7
Kalah 5 17
Gol Masuk 1.38 1.44
Gol Kemasukan 0.86 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

3 Agu 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
3:2
24 Apr 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta
2:1
5 Mar 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta
1:2
26 Feb 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
2:2
27 Nov 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
0:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Nacional Asuncion 40 / 100
Recoleta 26 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Nacional Asuncion Recoleta

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Nacional Asuncion Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: Nacional Asuncion scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Recoleta conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nacional Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Nacional Asuncion VS Recoleta
1.75 Gol Dicetak 1
0.75 Gol Kebobolan 1.5
75% Atas 1.5 75%
50% Atas 2.5 50%
13% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Asuncion

(Home)
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
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Recoleta

(Away)
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)