Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Qassim

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Naft Al-Basra play Al-Qassim in the Stars League 2024/2025. Naft Al-Basra are favorites here. Recently, Naft Al-Basra averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Al-Qassim averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.66 conceded. In past meetings, Naft Al-Basra won 1, Al-Qassim won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on 18 Apr 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Naft Al-Basra and 1.00 for Al-Qassim. This points to a Naft Al-Basra double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

60%
Naft Al-Basra
25%
Seri
15%
Al-Qassim
Proyeksi hasil seri: 25% Unggulan: Naft Al-Basra

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

91% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Naft Al-Basra mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Al-Qassim.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 60%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 79%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 60%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 36%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 18%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 45%
Naft Al-Basra Tanpa Kebobolan 23%
Al-Qassim Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Gol Babak Pertama 71%
Gol Babak Kedua 75%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Naft Al-Basra Al-Qassim
Main 30 32
Menang 5 1
Seri 9 6
Kalah 16 25
Gol Masuk 0.83 0.75
Gol Kemasukan 1.37 2.66

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18 Apr 2025 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Qassim
2:2
25 Jan 2025 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Naft Al-Basra
2:1
20 Jul 2024 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Qassim
2:1
22 Jun 2024 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Qassim
0:2
10 Nov 2023 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Naft Al-Basra
3:0

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Naft Al-Basra Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Ouro-Agoro I.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 0
Rata-rata xA / laga 0

Al-Qassim Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Georgev Igor O. J.
2 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.12
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.07

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Naft Al-Basra 59 / 100
Al-Qassim 16 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Naft Al-Basra Al-Qassim

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Naft Al-Basra Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Naft Al-Basra & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Naft Al-Basra menyerang → ← menyerang Al-Qassim

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Naft Al-Basra scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Al-Qassim let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Naft Al-Basra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al-Qassim lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Faktor Risiko

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Faktor Risiko

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

24 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 9
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.13
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Shorta38269375:2387
2Al Zawraa38238756:2877
3Zakho382011757:2571
4Al Talaba381891140:2763
5Al Quwa Al Jawiya381791251:4360
6Al Naft381514932:2759
7Duhok381691347:4157
8Al-Karma3815111243:3556
9Newroz3814111346:4153
10Al-Qassim3813131243:4352
11Naft Missan381491542:4651
12Erbil381551849:6150
13Al Kahraba3812131339:4149
14Al Najaf3811131437:3646
15Al Karkh3812101640:4946
16Al Minaa3811101739:4443
17Diyala3810111731:5041
18Naft Al-Basra38892132:5733
19Al-Hudod38822837:7926
20Karbala384102426:6622