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Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
Rab, 21 Okt 2026
VS
10.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Nagoya Grampus host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Nagoya Grampus at 1.46 goals for, 1.82 against; Cerezo Osaka at 1.61 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor Nagoya Grampus slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17 Mei 2026, ending 6:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.44) back Cerezo Osaka to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Nagoya Grampus
44%
Seri
20%
Cerezo Osaka
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Cerezo Osaka have won more games recently than Nagoya Grampus.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 75.8%
Nagoya Grampus Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Cerezo Osaka Tanpa Kebobolan 13%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka
Main 28 28
Menang 11 17
Seri 1 4
Kalah 16 7
Gol Masuk 1.46 1.61
Gol Kemasukan 1.82 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

17 Mei 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
6:1
4 Apr 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka
3:0
4 Okt 2025 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka
2:1
8 Mar 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
1:1
30 Jun 2024 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
2:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Nagoya Grampus 36 / 100
Cerezo Osaka 21 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Cerezo Osaka Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Nagoya Grampus's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cerezo Osaka let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Nagoya Grampus stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Nagoya Grampus VS Cerezo Osaka
1 Gol Dicetak 1.38
1.5 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
75% Atas 1.5 75%
63% Atas 2.5 38%
25% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagoya Grampus

(Home)
11 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
1 : 2
Nagoya Grampus
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3
Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 6

Cerezo Osaka

(Away)
10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0
Kagoshima United
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 9 6 2 1 22:6 20
3 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
4 FC Tokyo 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
8 Kawasaki Frontale 9 3 4 2 17:14 13
9 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 4 1 4 8:9 13
11 Urawa Reds 9 4 0 5 16:21 12
12 Cerezo Osaka 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
13 Mito 9 2 3 4 12:13 9
14 V-Varen Nagasaki 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
15 Nagoya Grampus 9 3 0 6 9:15 9
16 Kyoto 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
18 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
19 Chiba 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
20 Verdy 9 0 4 5 4:14 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)