Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Namyangju vs Jincheon

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This K4 League encounter between Namyangju and Jincheon promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Namyangju averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Jincheon shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Namyangju, 0 wins for Jincheon, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 28.06.26 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.88 for Namyangju and 1.50 for Jincheon, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jincheon double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

29%
Namyangju
25%
Seri
46%
Jincheon
Proyeksi hasil seri: 25% Unggulan: Jincheon

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

77% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Namyangju mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Jincheon.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.88 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 74%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 50%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 30%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 15%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 47%
Namyangju Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Jincheon Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Gol Babak Pertama 67%
Gol Babak Kedua 70%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Namyangju Jincheon
Main 21 15
Menang 7 9
Seri 5 4
Kalah 9 2
Gol Masuk 1.24 2
Gol Kemasukan 1.48 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

28.06.26 K4 League
Jincheon vs Namyangju
2:2
22.03.26 K4 League
Namyangju vs Jincheon
1:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Namyangju

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Jincheon

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Namyangju 29 / 100
Jincheon 45 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Namyangju Jincheon

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Jincheon or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Namyangju 32%
Jincheon 37%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Namyangju 28%
Jincheon 48%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Namyangju 29%
Jincheon 46%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Namyangju 30%
Jincheon 44%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Namyangju 26%
Jincheon 51%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Namyangju 33%
Jincheon 53%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Namyangju menyerang → ← menyerang Jincheon

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Namyangju have found the net in 67% of their last 21 matches.

Jincheon have conceded at least one goal in 47% of their last 15 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Namyangju remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Jincheon suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

26 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 31
1.13 Expected goals (xG) 1.63
1.38 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369