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Neftchi Fargona vs Al Ittihad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana
Sen, 26 Okt 2026
VS
01.45 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Neftchi Fargona host Al Ittihad in the AFC Champions League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Ittihad have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Neftchi Fargona have conceded 0.86 and scored 2.14. Past meetings favor Al Ittihad slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 18 Mei 2004, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward Neftchi Fargona. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

42%
Neftchi Fargona
20%
Seri
38%
Al Ittihad
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Neftchi Fargona

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

67% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Neftchi Fargona come out ahead of Al Ittihad on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Neftchi Fargona's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.2%
Neftchi Fargona Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Al Ittihad Tanpa Kebobolan 13%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Neftchi Fargona Al Ittihad
Main 28 28
Menang 20 16
Seri 4 5
Kalah 4 7
Gol Masuk 2.14 2.07
Gol Kemasukan 0.86 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18 Mei 2004 AFC Champions League
Al Ittihad vs Neftchi Fargona
3:0
24 Feb 2004 AFC Champions League
Neftchi Fargona vs Al Ittihad
1:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Neftchi Fargona 41 / 100
Al Ittihad 37 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Neftchi Fargona Al Ittihad

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Neftchi Fargona's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Al Ittihad let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Neftchi Fargona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Neftchi Fargona VS Al Ittihad
1.5 Gol Dicetak 1.88
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 0.75
50% Atas 1.5 75%
50% Atas 2.5 63%
25% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftchi Fargona

(Home)
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad

(Away)
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)