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Nesebar vs Spartak Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026 Gradski stadion, Nesebar
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Ringkasan Pertandingan

Nesebar in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Nesebar
40%
Seri
29%
Spartak Plovdiv
Proyeksi hasil seri: 40% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Nesebar have won more games recently than Spartak Plovdiv.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 75.8%
Nesebar Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Spartak Plovdiv Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Nesebar Spartak Plovdiv
Main 29 29
Menang 18 17
Seri 6 3
Kalah 5 9
Gol Masuk 2.79 2.14
Gol Kemasukan 1.07 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

17 Mei 2026 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Spartak Plovdiv
6:1
15 Nov 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Nesebar
0:0
20 Apr 2024 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Spartak Plovdiv
3:2
11 Okt 2023 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Nesebar
1:1
18 Feb 2023 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Spartak Plovdiv
2:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Nesebar 31 / 100
Spartak Plovdiv 28 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Nesebar Spartak Plovdiv

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Nesebar scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Spartak Plovdiv has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Nesebar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Nesebar VS Spartak Plovdiv
2.25 Gol Dicetak 2.13
0.88 Gol Kebobolan 0.88
75% Atas 1.5 88%
38% Atas 2.5 50%
25% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nesebar

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Nesebar
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Nesebar
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
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Spartak Plovdiv

(Away)
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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