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New Mexico vs Lexington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

10'
Semmle O.
29'
Hurst G.
46'
Sub
Fry M. Masuk: Ferri B.
Keluar: Fry M.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The USL Championship game between New Mexico and Lexington finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Mexico.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

4%
New Mexico
6%
Seri
90%
Lexington
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Lexington

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • New Mexico have managed 1.66 goals a game lately — Lexington are scoring more at 1.87.
  • Win probability leans Lexington's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors New Mexico here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 44%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 20%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.8%
New Mexico Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Lexington Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik New Mexico Lexington
Main 29 30
Menang 15 15
Seri 8 3
Kalah 6 12
Gol Masuk 1.66 1.87
Gol Kemasukan 1.21 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

27 Agu 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Lexington
2:1
15 Jul 2026 USL Championship
Lexington vs New Mexico
1:4
28 Sep 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Lexington
2:1
14 Jun 2025 USL Championship
Lexington vs New Mexico
2:1

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

New Mexico Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Keller K.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Reid-Stephen N.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.11
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.72

Lexington Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Muir M.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.76
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.08

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

New Mexico 10 / 100
Lexington 83 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
New Mexico Lexington

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Lexington Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

New Mexico found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Lexington has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

New Mexico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

New Mexico VS Lexington
1.63 Gol Dicetak 2.25
1.63 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
75% Atas 1.5 75%
75% Atas 2.5 63%
38% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Mexico

(Home)
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
Page 1 of 6

Lexington

(Away)
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1
El Paso Locomotive
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Lexington
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)