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New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
11.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

New York Red Bulls host Toronto FC in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Toronto FC have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while New York Red Bulls have conceded 2 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor New York Red Bulls slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14 Mar 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back New York Red Bulls to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

80%
New York Red Bulls
11%
Seri
9%
Toronto FC
Proyeksi hasil seri: 11% Unggulan: New York Red Bulls

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

93% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Toronto FC haven't matched New York Red Bulls's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans New York Red Bulls's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 79.4%
New York Red Bulls Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Toronto FC Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik New York Red Bulls Toronto FC
Main 27 27
Menang 8 6
Seri 6 11
Kalah 13 10
Gol Masuk 1.3 1.41
Gol Kemasukan 2 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

14 Mar 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls
1:1
25 Jun 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls
1:1
22 Mar 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
2:1
2 Okt 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls
1:4
28 Jul 2024 Leagues Cup
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
0:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 75 / 100
Toronto FC 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
New York Red Bulls Toronto FC

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama New York Red Bulls Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Defensive concern: Toronto FC conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

New York Red Bulls found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: New York Red Bulls stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

New York Red Bulls VS Toronto FC
0.5 Gol Dicetak 1.63
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 2.25
50% Atas 1.5 100%
25% Atas 2.5 75%
13% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls

(Home)
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Seattle Sounders
0 : 0
New York Red Bulls
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Toronto FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1
Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0
Toronto FC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)