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Newtown vs Llanuwchllyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Latham Park, Newtown
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
01.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Llanuwchllyn have shipped 2.35 goals a game lately, while Newtown have conceded 1.42 and scored 1.87. Past meetings favor Newtown slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 28 Agu 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 0.88, favoring Newtown. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

40%
Newtown
33%
Seri
27%
Llanuwchllyn
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Newtown

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Newtown come out ahead of Llanuwchllyn on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Newtown's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Newtown have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newtown, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 44%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 20%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 68.6%
Newtown Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Llanuwchllyn Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Newtown Llanuwchllyn
Main 31 26
Menang 15 9
Seri 3 4
Kalah 13 13
Gol Masuk 1.87 1.69
Gol Kemasukan 1.42 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

28 Agu 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Llanuwchllyn
4:0
19 Okt 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanuwchllyn vs Newtown
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Newtown 40 / 100
Llanuwchllyn 26 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Newtown Llanuwchllyn

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Newtown Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Newtown's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Llanuwchllyn let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Newtown stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Newtown VS Llanuwchllyn
2 Gol Dicetak 1.5
0.25 Gol Kebobolan 2.13
50% Atas 1.5 88%
38% Atas 2.5 75%
25% Atas 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
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Llanuwchllyn

(Away)
03 Oct
Guilsfield
1 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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